Gray Calhoun’s academic homepage

I’m Gray Calhoun, an Assistant Professor in the Economics Department at Iowa State. I work on Econometric theory, especially time series and applications to forecasting and forecast evaluation. I graduated with a PhD from UC San Diego in 2009, where I worked with Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann.

Email: «gcalhoun at iastate dot edu» (university) and «gray at clhn dot org» (personal email and IM)

Office: 467 Heady Hall, (515) 294-6271.

Schedule for 2015–2016: I'm teaching Tuesdays and Thursdays both Fall and Spring semesters, 9–11 in the Fall and 2–3:30 in the Spring. Office hours are held in my office for 45 minutes or so after the lecture.

Links: CV, IDEAS, Google Scholar, LinkedIn, GitHub, Pinboard, and Twitter. Let me know if you want the password to my family blog. (Don’t feel left out, it’s mostly pictures of my kids.)

This website was last updated on 2015-08-29.


Information for PhD students at Iowa State

Current and former PhD students

Work in progress

Out-of-sample comparisons of overfit models (2014-03-30, revise and resubmit at Quantitative Economics) with supplemental appendix and source code archive. Iowa State University Economics Department Working Paper #11002.

Block bootstrap consistency under weak assumptions (2015-12-31, revise and resubmit at Econometric Theory) with supplemental appendix and public repository. Iowa State University Economics Department Working Paper #11017.

Improved stepdown methods for asymptotic control of generalized error rates (2015-04-27, revise and resubmit at Journal of Econometrics) with source code archive.

An asymptotically normal out-of-sample test based on mixed estimation windows (2015-01-09, revise and resubmit at Econometrica) with appendix and source code archive.

A method for smoothing Impulse Response Functions for discrete-time linear models, (2016-03-28) with source code archive.

A simple block bootstrap for asymptotically normal out-of-sample test statistics (2015-04-21) source code archive.

Refereed publications

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Sharp Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Otávio Bartalotti and Yang He. Forthcoming in Advances in Econometrics volume 38, October 2016. Source code repository

Hypothesis testing in linear regression when k/n is large. Journal of Econometrics, 165(2), 2011: 163–174. Link, published version, R package, and additional files

Other working papers

Research Needs and Challenges in the FEW System: Coupling Economic Models with Agronomic, Hydrologic, and Bioenergy Models for Sustainable Food, Energy, and Water Systems (with Catherine L. Kling, Raymond W. Arritt, David A. Keiser, and 25 others), March 2016. CARD Working Paper #563.

A graphical analysis of causality in the Reinhart-Rogoff dataset (2015-07-19) with source code archive. Iowa State University Economics Department Working Paper #15014. (This is a more formal version of a blog post I had written earlier.)


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